Hiroaki Sakurai

AbstractThis study examines the relationship between foreign aid and total factor productivity (TFP) in Thailand from 1972 to 2013 using the VAR model and Granger causality. While discussing the role of foreign aid in the economy of recipient countries, it is important to examine whether foreign aid contributes to the productivity of the recipient country. Estimation results do not show any evidence of a relationship between foreign aid and the TFP in Thailand, indicating that foreign aid does not necessarily directly affect productivity. This result is also considered to be suitable for previous studies.JEL classification numbers: F35, O53.Keywords: Foreign Aid, Total Factor Productivity, Thailand.

AbstractThis study examines whether foreign aid from 1986 to 2019 caused the Dutch disease effect in Vietnam using a VAR model and Granger causality test. In this context, “Dutch disease” refers to the weakening of manufacturing processes as a consequence of the appreciation of a local currency due to capital inflow. Since foreign aid is considered a type of capital inflow, it is among the reasons for the appreciation of a local currency, which may offset the impact of foreign aid on economic growth. Although Vietnam experienced rapid economic growth, along with a large amount of foreign aid and appreciation in the real exchange rate, after Doi Moi (economic reform) in 1986, few studies have yet been conducted. The estimation results show that foreign aid does not cause an appreciation of the local currency in Vietnam. Based on this result, the Dutch disease did not occur due to foreign aid in Vietnam.JEL classification numbers: F35, O53.Keywords: Foreign Aid, Dutch Disease, Vietnam.